Asian Cup match prediction case study

International football tournaments are notoriously difficult to predict. This case study will apply two different predictive models to the upcoming Asian Cup to see how accurately they can predict matches with limited data, and whether they can be used to find an edge over bookmakers.

Asian Cup match prediction case study round 2

One round down and we are quickly onto the second round of matches for the 2015 Asian Cup. In this article we will post an update on our match prediction case study and see how our predictions have fared so far and look forward to the next four matches.

Asian Cup match prediction case study round 1

After a long wait the Asian Cup finally kicks off this Friday in Melbourne as hosts Australia face Kuwait. As part of our football predictive model case study we preview each of the opening round Asian Cup matches to see who we, and the bookmakers think will win each of the matches in Groups A and D.

Does increased possession equate to a better chance of winning?

Possession has become one of the most contentious of the newly available range of soccer statistics that are regularly quoted in live match analysis. It is generally assumed that enjoying more possession is a positive, but does this assumption hold water, and to what degree should bettors use possession stats in handicapping a teama��s ability to win games?

Are Referees Bias?

Are referees really bias? Do they ever really favour one team over another? In this article we will discover exactly how much influence referees have over football matches and try to explain what factors may be at play that causes referees to lean one way or another.

How valuable are direct shots from a free kick?

A soccer teama��s quality is most conveniently measured by the rate at which they score and concede goals. Goal difference shows a strong correlation to overall success as measured by league position or points accrued per game and Poisson based approaches can be used as a basis to predict future score lines and ultimately match odds.